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赌博资本主义

时间:2015-10-15 来源:未知 编辑:梦想论文 阅读:
That is not true. The Fed cut interest rates in the short term this make snap, a massive increase in the money supply, and in twentieth Century may seventy years occurred in USA continuously for more than 10 years of "stagflation" disaster again. Even the "Wall Street journal" published the article also mentioned the danger. ("Wall Street daily" May 19, 2001)

关于由白宫直接出面执行的财政政策,这里主要指的是小乔治·布什总统2001年1月20日上台执政后为刺激经济向美国国会提出的在今后11年(国会改为10年)内减税13500亿美元的方案,经过共和、民主两党的反复激烈争斗,已于5月26日由国会众、参两院通过。第一次小额减税(总金额约为955万美元)从2001年7月1日生效,8、9月份开始实行;大额减税要在2006财政年度以前逐步实施;有的免税项目要到2009财政年度开始实行,2010财政年度完全兑现。有的民主党人指责这个减税法案是“劫贫济富”。我们对这个法案是竞有利于谁,即有利于美国社会上的哪一个阶级姑且不予评论,只说它对缓和或制止这场经济危机能否起作用。难道从2001年8、9月份开始实行、2002年秋季才能对消费需求发生作用的区区9500万美元的减税,能够制止现在已经处于始发阶段的这场经济危机的发展吗?不说2010年,就说2006财政年度以前逐步兑现的那个大额减税项目,难道它能够制止现在已经处于始发阶段的这场经济危机的发展吗?难道这不是远水救不了近火吗?
Direct intervention by the White House on the implementation of fiscal policy, here mainly refers to President Mageorge Bush came to power in January 20, 2001 to stimulate the economy and put forward to American Congress (Congress in the next 11 years to 10 years) in tax cuts for $1350000000000, after the Republican, democratic parties and fierce fighting, in May 26th by the Congress House and Senate, by. The first small cuts (a total amount of about US $9550000) with effect from July 1, 2001, 8, September began to implement; large tax cuts to gradually implemented in the 2006 fiscal year ago; some exemptions to the 2009 fiscal year began, the 2010 fiscal year completely. Some Democrats accused the tax bill is "robbing the poor to the rich". We're competing for who to this act, which is conducive to a class America society tentatively declined to comment, saying only that it to ease or stop this economic crisis can play a role. Is from 2001 8, introduced in September, the fall of 2002 to the consumption demand of only $95000000 in tax cuts, to stop the development is now in the economic crisis of the initial stage? Don't say in 2010, said the 2006 fiscal year before gradually realized that large tax cuts, it can stop the development is now in the initial stage of the economic crisis? Isn't it While the grass grows the horse starves?

In fact, the government's fiscal policy can avoid the economic crisis, Mr. Greenspan has made a conclusion on the speech, will not need we say more again what.

在这里只是重申我在《再论》里说过的一个观点,即格林斯潘先生和小乔治·布什总统本领再大,充其量只能延缓而不可能制止这场危机的发展。
Here simply reaffirmed an opinion I said in the "on", which Mr Greenspan and Mr Mageorge Bush again big development ability, at best, can only delay but could not stop the crisis.


第二个问题是,凭着美国国会通过的几道法律和政府管理证券市场的机构,能防止股市的崩溃吗?
The second question is, with several legal and government securities market American Congress through the body, to prevent the collapse of the stock market?

我在《一论》里已经说过,鉴于1929年股市崩溃引发了二十世纪三十年代那场资本主义史上空前严重的经济危机的教训,富兰克林·罗斯福1933年3月上台执政后,就紧急敦促美国国会通过了几道有关法律,即《1933年证券法》(Securities Act of1933),《1934年证券交易法》(Securities Exchange Act of 1934);罗斯福政府依据这两道法律的有关规定,于1934年成立了管理证券市场的专门机构——“证券与交易委员会”(1940年,还经过国会通过了两道有关投资公司的法律)。在美国国家垄断资本主义的兴盛阶段,这几道法律和这个委员会对包括股票在内的证券市场的比较平稳的发展,是起过作用的。然而,在美国国家垄断资本主义的衰落阶段,它们既未能防止1973—1974年华尔街股票市场的崩溃,也未能防止1987年10月“黑色星期一”事件的发生。那么,2000年到2001年这一次,它们防止住了吗?更没有。有关情况,我在《再论》和本文前面已经说过了,就用不着再讲了。
I have said in the "theory", in view of the stock market crash of 1929 led to the unprecedented economic crisis that capitalist history in twentieth Century thirty the lessons of 1933, Franklin I came to power in March, he urged the American emergency Congress passed several relevant law, namely the "Securities Act of 1933" (Securities Act of1933), "Securities Exchange Act of 1934" (Securities Exchange Act of 1934); the Roosevelt administration in accordance with the relevant provisions of the two law, specifically -- "Securities and exchange commission agency in 1934 set up the management of the securities market" (1940, also after Congress passed the two related investment company law). In the flourishing stage America state monopoly capitalism, the legal and the committee to include stock, the stock market stable development, is played a role. However, in the decline stage American state monopoly capitalism, they not only failed to prevent the 1973 - 1974 Wall Street stock market collapse, also failed to prevent the occurrence of 1987 October "black Monday" event. Then, from 2000 to 2001 this time, they prevent live? No more. Relevant information, in front of me "on" and we have already said, do not say.

第三个问题是,在二十一世纪初期,美国是否会发生像二十世纪三十年代那种特别严重的经济危机?
The third question is, in the early twenty-first Century, America will occur as the twentieth Century thirty's that are especially serious economic crisis?

对于这个问题的答复,英国《金融时报》(见2001年2月19日评论版)所载的文章是肯定的:美国《工商业观察家》(见200l年2月号)也是肯定的。美国其他舆论工具不时也发出了这类的警报。前述美国前任财政部长拉里·萨默斯在瑞士发表的演讲也含有类似的意思。我以为,目前尚不能肯定,还有待进一步观察,但也不能绝对排除这种可能性。这种可能性之所以不能绝对排除,主要是因为:(1)美国国家垄断资本主义现在是处于衰落阶段,这与它的兴盛阶段是不同的。(2)这次美国股市狂跌所吞没的金融资产金额之巨,为历史上所未见。(3)泡沫经济破灭后导致的日本经济危机已经持续11个年头,现在还未结束;英国2000年的工业生产已处于停滞状态;德国的经济现在也已出现疲软迹象;包括印度尼西亚在内的东南亚经济的整体,至今仍未从1997年的那场金融、经济风暴中恢复元气;包括阿根廷在内的拉美经济现在又已发出了警报;国际货币基金组织对2001年世界经济的增长率一律下调。在经济全球化日益发展的形势下,美国不是一个孤立的、与世隔绝的世外桃源。它的经济危机与世界许多国家、地区的经济不景气是相互影响的,而又以美国经济危机对世界经济的拖累为最严重。


The answer to this question, the British "Financial Times" (see the review version February 19, 2001) contained in the article is sure: "USA business observers" (see 200L February) is in the affirmative. American other media from time to time, also issued this warning. The USA former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers in the Swiss speech also contains a similar meaning. I think, it is not certain, remains to be seen, but also cannot absolutely exclude this possibility. This possibility cannot be absolutely excluded, mainly because: (1) America state monopoly capitalism is now in decline stage, the prosperity stage and it is different. (2) the stock market crash American financial swallowed assets amount is huge, as history has no. (3) the Japanese economic crisis led to the post bubble has continued for 11 years, now is not the end; the UK 2000 industrial production has stagnated; Germany's economy now has emerged signs of weakness; the whole body including Indonesia, economy of Southeast Asia, has not yet in 1997 from the financial, economic storm recover; Latin American economies including Argentina, and now has issued a warning; the International Monetary Fund for the 2001 world economic growth rate will be down. In the development of economic globalization, America is not an isolated, retire the land of idyllic beauty. The economic crisis and the many countries, regions of the world and its economic downturn affect each other, and to America economic crisis on the world economy dragged down as the most serious.

综上所述,可以看出:
In summary, we can see:

第一,实行“赌博资本主义”不是表明美国经济实力的强大,恰恰相反,它说明了美国经济实力的虚弱。难道像美国这样一个大国能够长期基本上靠赌博过活吗?
First, the "gambling" capitalism isn't that American powerful economic strength, on the contrary, it illustrates the economic strength of the weak America. Don't like America such a large country can long basically rely on gambling to live?

“赌博资本主义”是在美国国家垄断资本主义处于衰落阶段发生和发展起来的,充分反映了美国国家垄断资本主义的腐朽,它的崩溃是必然的。
"Gambling" capitalism is in USA state monopoly capitalism in decline stage occurred and developed, fully reflects the American state monopoly capitalism decayed, its collapse is inevitable.

第二,在资本主义制度本身无法克服的固有矛盾面前,科学技术是无能为力的,它不可能挽救美国的资本主义制度。事实恰恰相反,科学技术的发展必然促使资本主义制度本身无法克服的固有矛盾进一步发展,直至激化,在国家垄断资本主义处于衰落阶段尤其是如此。美国这场新的经济危机的发生,再次证明了马克思主义的这一条基本原理。
Second, in front of the capitalist system itself can not overcome the inherent contradiction, science and technology is incapable of action, it is not possible to save American capitalism. On the contrary, the contradictions inherent in the development of science and technology will promote the capitalist system itself can not overcome the further development, and intensified, in the state monopoly capitalism in decline stage especially. American this new economic crisis, once again proved that a basic principle of the Marx doctrine.

第三,目前已经存在的最基本的经济、金融事实显示,美国这一场新的经济危机将在深度上进一步发展,并将冲击世界经济。
Third, the existing basic economic, financial facts show, America this a new financial crisis will further develop in depth, and will impact the world economy.

第四,目前我国理论战线解放思想的一项重大任务,就是要从对资本主义制度的盲目迷信中解放出来。
Fourth, a major task at present the theory front of emancipation of the mind, is to be liberated from the blind faith in the capitalist system.

第五,我国的经济发展在对外开放的同时,应当以扩大内需、自力更生为主,把对外开放与自力更生相结合;要大力防止国际金融、经济风暴对我国的袭击,并以早做准备为宜。
Fifth, China's economic development and opening to the outside world, should be based on expanding domestic demand, rely through one's own efforts, the opening to the outside world and rely through one's own efforts combined; to prevent the international financial, economic storm attack on our country, and to make early preparations should be.

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